Prediction models for exacerbations in patients with COPD

B Guerra, V Gaveikaite, C Bianchi… - European Respiratory …, 2017 - Eur Respiratory Soc
Personalised medicine aims to tailor medical decisions to the individual patient. A possible
approach is to stratify patients according to the risk of adverse outcomes such as …

Annealed and mean-field formulations of disease dynamics on static and adaptive networks

B Guerra, J Gómez-Gardeñes - Physical Review E, 2010 - APS
We use the annealed formulation of complex networks to study the dynamical behavior of
disease spreading on both static and adaptive networked systems. This unifying approach …

[HTML][HTML] Large-scale external validation and comparison of prognostic models: an application to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

B Guerra, SR Haile, B Lamprecht, AS Ramírez… - BMC medicine, 2018 - Springer
Background External validations and comparisons of prognostic models or scores are a
prerequisite for their use in routine clinical care but are lacking in most medical fields including …

Dynamical organization towards consensus in the Axelrod model on complex networks

B Guerra, J Poncela, J Gómez-Gardeñes, V Latora… - Physical Review E, 2010 - APS
We analyze the dynamics toward cultural consensus in the Axelrod model on scale-free
networks. By looking at the microscopic dynamics of the model, we are able to show how culture …

How big is too big? Critical shocks for systemic failure cascades

CJ Tessone, A Garas, B Guerra… - Journal of Statistical …, 2013 - Springer
External or internal shocks may lead to the collapse of a system consisting of many agents.
If the shock hits only one agent initially and causes it to fail, this can induce a cascade of …

[HTML][HTML] Multiple Score Comparison: a network meta-analysis approach to comparison and external validation of prognostic scores

SR Haile, B Guerra, JB Soriano, MA Puhan - BMC medical research …, 2017 - Springer
Background Prediction models and prognostic scores have been increasingly popular in
both clinical practice and clinical research settings, for example to aid in risk-based decision …

Adaptive growing networks coevolving with the spread of diseases

B Guerra, J Gomez-Gardenes… - International Journal of …, 2012 - World Scientific
We study the evolution of an adaptive network whose growth occurs simultaneously to the
propagation of a disease. The dynamics of the network growth is entangled to the spread of …

Multiple score comparison

SR Haile, B Guerra, JB Soriano, MA Puhan, G ter Riet - 2017 - hbo-kennisbank.nl
BACKGROUND: Prediction models and prognostic scores have been increasingly popular
in both clinical practice and clinical research settings, for example to aid in risk-based …

[PDF][PDF] Dynamical organization towards cultural consensus in complex networks

B Guerra, J Poncela, J Gómez-Gardenes… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2009 - researchgate.net
The study of social systems has attracted the interest of statistical physics in the recent years.
In particular, this interest relies in the description of the global behaviors that emerge in the …

[PDF][PDF] Prediction models: novel ways for external validation and comparison of their performance: an application to patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary …

B Guerra - 2017 - zora.uzh.ch
Tailoring medical decisions to the individual patient while considering the scientific evidence
has always been the goal of evidence-based medicine. Similarly, personalized medicine or …