TABLE 3

Readiness of prediction models for clinical practice

First author [ref.]Availability predictorsExternal validationPractical applicability
Bertens [29]EasyYesNo
Almagro [23]EasyYesNo
Almagro [23]EasyYesNo
Almagro [23]EasyYesNo
Almagro [27]DifficultNoYes#
Brusse-Keizer [30]EasyNoNo
Amalakuhan [28]EasyNo+No
Jones [38]EasyNo§No
Echave-Sustaeta [32]EasyNoNo
Jakob [37]EasyNoNo
Motegi [43]EasyNoNo
Lee [40]EasyNoNo
Parshall [47]EasyNoNo
Chen [31]MediumNoNo
Gudmundusson [35]MediumNoNo
Hurst [36]MediumNoNo
Suetomo [48]MediumNoNo
Faganello [33]DifficultNoNo
Ko [39]DifficultNoNo
Ong [46]DifficultNoNo
Garcia-Aymerich [34]DifficultNoNo
Marin [41]DifficultNoNo
Moberg [42]DifficultNoNo
Moy [44]DifficultNoNo
Müllerova [45]DifficultNoNo
Takahashi [49]DifficultNoNo
Thomsen [50]DifficultNoNo
  • Availability predictors refers to how easy it is to obtain the data related to the predictors. External validation refers to the reliability of the model in terms of comparison of performance between derivation and eventual validation cohort. Practical applicability indicates if it is easy to extract individual likelihoods of exacerbation from the model. Studies presenting different models are considered only once, with exception of Almagro et al. [23] for which different predefined indices are shown. #: the paper explains how to you can obtain probabilities starting from the logistic regression equation and indicates how to calculate individual probabilities starting from the predictors; : the jackknife cross validation was applied but no performance was indicated; +: internal validation was applied but no performance is indicated; §: validation was performed for other outcomes.