Table 2. Summary of the most common types of adaptive designs
Type of designDescription
Adaptive randomisationAllows modification of the randomisation schedule based on treatment, response, etc.
The goal is to assign more patients to a promising test treatment
Patient characteristics should be balanced between the groups
Not feasible for a large trial with relatively long treatment duration
Adaptive group sequentialClassical group sequential design with pre-specified interim analyses
Options of additional adaptations include:
    Sample size re-estimation
    Modification/deletion/addition of treatment arms
    Change of study end-points
    Modification of dose, schedule and treatment duration
Flexible sample size re-estimationAllows for sample size adjustment/re-estimation based on the observed interim data
May be biased as the original power analysis for sample size calculation is performed prior to conducting the study
The observed interim difference is based on a small number of subjects and:
    May not be statistically significant (maybe due to chance alone)
    May not be reproducible
Can be either based on overall data or based on criteria such as treatment-effect size, conditional power and/or reproducibility
The US Food and Drug Administration recommends re-estimation methods be based on interim analyses on overall data
Drop the losers (or picking up the winners)A multistage design that allows:
    Dropping the inferior treatment groups
    Modifying treatment arms
    Adding additional arms after the review of interim data
Risks related to this study design are:
    Not having enough statistical power at the end of the first stage
    The investigator may pick up the wrong group
Adaptive dose-findingUsed in early phase clinical development to identify the maximum tolerated dose, as it is desirable to achieve it with a limited number of patients
The selection of initial dose, dose range and criteria for dose escalation and/or dose de-escalation is important for the success of the trial
A recently proposed new method (the continual reassessment method) allows continual reassessment of the dose–response relationship based on the accumulative data collected
Biomarker adaptiveEnables adaptations based on the response of biomarkers
Involves biomarker qualification, optimal screening design, and model selection and validation
It is useful to identify:
    The patient population most likely to respond
    The natural course of disease
    Early disease
Adaptive treatment-switchingAllows a patient’s treatment to be switched from one assignment to an alternative if there is evidence of lack of efficacy, disease progression or safety issues
Adaptive hypothesisPermits changes in hypotheses in response to interim analysis results to achieve the desired power
Some examples include pre-planned switching:
    From a single hypothesis to a composite or multiple hypotheses
    Between the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis
    Between the primary and the secondary end-points
Phase I/II (or II/III) adaptive seamless trialIt combines the objectives, traditionally addressed in separate trials, into a single study
The most common examples include:
    Adaptive seamless phase I/II design
    Adaptive seamless phase II/III design