Table 1. Main predictive biomarkers published in early non-small cell lung cancer: clinical prospective trials or large multicentre series
First author [ref.]MarkerTrialPatients nOverall survivalExternal validation
Kamal [41]MSH2IALT (stage I–III)768HR 0.66, p=0.01: High expression: prognostic and predictive for overall survival in adjuvant arm versus observationNo
Olaussen [25]ERCC1IALT (stage I–III)761HR 0.66, p=0.009: High expression: prognostic and predictive for overall survival in adjuvant arm versus observationNo for predictive value: failure of LACE-Bio validation [44]
Filipits [55]MRP2IALT (Stage I–III)782HR 1.37, p=0.07: High expression: worse prognosisNo
Sève [60]β-tubulin3JBR10 (stage I–III)256HR 1.72; p=0.04: High expression: worse prognosisNo for predictive value in LACE-Bio Yes for prognosis value in LACE-Bio [65]
de Fraipont [35]RASSF1A methylationIFCT-0002 (stage I–II)208Adjusted HR 2.13, p=0.0013: Prognostic and predictive for PFS: gemcitabine versus paclitaxelNo Bootstrap internal validation for prognosis
Levallet [26]β-tubulin3IFCT-0002 (stage I–II)461Adjusted HR 1.69, p=0.035: High expression: prognostic but not predictiveNo Bootstrap internal validation
Zhu [61]15-gene signatureJBR10 (stage I–III)133Adjusted HR 15.02, p<0.001: High-risk group of worse prognosisYes for prognosis value No for predictive value
Mascaux [62]3-mIR signatureIFCT-0002 (stage I–II)276Adjusted HR 0.445, p=0.0002: Signature of 3mIR: prognostic valueNo Bootstrap internal validation
Chen [63]94-gene signatureDirector’s Challenge Consortium (stage I–III)442Adjusted HR 2.14, p<0.01: malignancy-risk genesYes for prognosis value No for predictive value
Kratz [64]14-gene signatureUCSF nonsquamous series + KPDOR series (stage I–III)361HR 2.37, p<0.001: purely prognosticYes for prognosis
  • MSH2: MutS homologue 2; MRP2: multidrug resistance-associated protein-2; IALT: International Adjuvant Lung Cancer Trial; UCSF: University of California, San Francisco (CA, USA); KPDOR: Kaiser Permanente Division of Research; HR: hazard ratio; PFS: progression free survival.